Thursday, November 11, 2004


The Anti-NATO

Putin Planning To Create the Most Powerful Coalition in the World
Not a good sign geopolitically, as Putin plans the coalition to include Russia, India, China, and Brazil. Militarily, the size of such an army these forces could amass staggers any conceivable amount in the past by gargantuan proportions, and all but Brazil are nuclear equipped.

More related bad news below:

China Rocks the Geopolitical Boat
If you skip out on reading the article, here's the gist: China is signing an oil and natural gas deal with Iran (thereby flaunting US Sanctions) worth 200 Billion dollars. There's also this interesting quote in light of the first story linked on this post:

"China, Russia and Iran share deep misgivings about the perception of the United States as a "benevolent hegemon" and tend to see a "rogue superpower" instead. Even short of joining forces formally, the main outlines of such an axis can be discerned from their convergence of threat perception due to, among other things, Russia's disquiet over the post-September 11, 2001, US incursions in its traditional Caucasus-Central Asian "turf", and China's continuing unease over the Korean Peninsula and Taiwan; this is not to mention China's fixed gaze at a "new Silk Road" allowing it unfettered access to the Middle East and Eurasia, this as part and parcel of what is often billed as "the new great game" in Eurasia. Indeed, what China's recent deals with both Kazakhstan (pertaining to Caspian energy) and Iran (pertaining to Persian Gulf resources) signifies is that the pundits had gotten it wrong until now: the purview of the new great game is not limited to the Central Asia-Caspian Sea basin, but rather has a broader, more integrated, purview increasingly enveloping even the Persian Gulf. Increasingly, the image of the Islamic Republic of Iran as a sort of frontline state in a post-Cold War global lineup against US hegemony is becoming prevalent among Chinese and Russian foreign-policy thinkers. "

The writer of this article doesn't believe this will lead to a new Cold War-esque world. I'm not so sure.

U.S. businesses have invested tens of billions of dollars into China. They also have their regional headquarters in China. There's way too much business interest for there to be any cold war between the two. Additionally, Europe is much more China-friendly. China is a contributor to Europe's Galieleo project...Europe's version of GPS that U.S. opposes.
Well you're certainly right about everything you commented on. However, there are suspicions that the current economic ties are actually something of a potential economic noose for the US, in that the enourmous trade gap and undervalued yuan could collapse the US economy. Moreover, China views a war with Taiwan as certainty, and the US is bound to become involved in this issue. Even if we avoided the Taiwan conflict, it it still disheartening that both the US and China view each other as their primary potential enemies.
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